Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Pac-12 South Title

If the University of Washington Huskies win the Apple Cup agaisnt the Washington State Cougars on Friday, they will be the Pac-12 North Division Champion and go on to play in the Pac-12 Championship game on December 2nd (6:00 PM PST on Fox). If the Cougars win, they will be the Pac-12 North Champions. But we don't want that to happen.

They will play the Pac-12 South Division Champion in that game. But who will that be?

Right now the Colorado Buffaloes are the Pac-12 South leader with a 9-2 overall record and a 7-2 in-conference record. But right behind them is USC (the Trojans) with a 8-2 overall record and a 7-2 in-conference record.

The interesting thing is, USC is stuck at 7-2 in-conference because their last game is against Notre Dame.

Colorado on the other hand plays Utah in the "Rumble in the Rockies." The game is held in Boulder this year. Utah is out of contention for the Pac-12 South title after losing to Oregon last Saturday.

So I've looked at all the possibilities for this weekend. There are four of them:

  1. Colorado beats Utah, USC beats Notre Dame
  2. Colorado beats Utah, USC loses to Notre Dame
  3. Colorado loses to Utah, USC loses to Notre Dame
  4. Colorado loses to Utah, USC beats Notre Dame
In scenarios 1-3, Colorado wins the Pac-12 South title.

In scenario #4, Colorado and USC would be tied at 7-2 in-conference and 8-3 overall. I'm not sure what would happen then. Perhaps points for and points against in the season.

I think the most likely scenario is #1. In any case, odds are that if the Huskies go to the Pac-12 Championship game, they will be playing Colorado.

The USC-Notre Dame game is Saturday at 12:30 PM on ABC
The Colorado-Utah game is Saturday at 4:30 PM on Fox.

The Apple Cup is Friday at 12:30 PM on Fox.

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