Survivor Bias

Entertainment gives us all survivor bias. 

Let me explain.

The hero/heroine always survives (except in Titanic but that's a rare exception). Books, movies, television, the protagonist always survives. Think about the movie Independence Day (try not to think too much, it's not a very good movie). Millions die but most of the main characters live.

I'm guilty of this. In my books the protagonist (almost) always survives. I did kill off my main character once in a book.

Because of entertainment, I believe we all secretly think we're going to survive. I think people going into a war have to think they will survive. Otherwise, they wouldn't go. But some don't survive.

But in real life, your odds of surviving disasters are much less. I remember reading years ago (I think in Readers Digest) about a skyscraper fire in Brazil (this might have been the fire). People trying to escape came to the end of a hall. There were two ways out: left or right. The ones that went one way survived. The ones that went the other way, didn't. So you had a 50% chance of making the wrong choice and dying. And that stuck with me. A 50% chance of dying based on a random choice. That's scary.

When I drove on the racetrack, I assumed nothing bad was going to happen to me even though what I was doing was inherently dangerous. (Nothing bad did happen.)

So, we all probably have survivor bias. I think we wouldn't step out of the safety of our houses if we didn't to some degree. 

Do you think people have survivor bias and it's mostly because of popular entertainment? Let me know in the comments below.